Agronomy update from around the UK

With 2023/24 having been incredibly challenging, Hutchinsons agronomists from across the UK share their thoughts what it all means for harvest prospects ...

North: Cam Murray, East Lothian

The 2024 season is one that just keeps giving, but unfortunately few of those gifts are welcome to farmers or agronomists.

Spring cropping has been particularly affected by the wet weather, with growers having to wait for conditions to dry enough before drilling.

Sowing spring barley into April doesn’t usually cause too many concerns, but this year it was followed by heavy rain that leached nutrients beyond developing roots, causing yellowing as a consequence. Crops should recover with time, but yield prospects are likely to be below average for many.

Potatoes went in very late too, with most probably 4-5 weeks behind normal planting, which will impact yield. The aim is usually to hit full canopy by the longest day, but with some crops only just emerging by early June, they will be some way off that. It also means blight will threaten crops at an earlier growth stage than normal, so managing the disease in young, rapid growth will require great care.

On the positive side, around 90% of planned winter cropping (wheat and barley) did get sown as planned last September, with just enough time to establish itself and withstand the wet weather that followed. The exception being late- sown wheat after potatoes, which either could not be drilled, or did go in, only for establishment to be compromised – or fail completely – in wet, waterlogged soils.

Disease-wise, September-sown wheats have not faced the same yellow rust pressure as elsewhere, and while septoria pressure is high, most growers have kept it at bay thus far, with robust early fungicide applications to prevent disease spreading up the canopy from lower leaves. How long those flood gates hold may be another matter given the pressure that has
built in recent mild, unsettled weather.

There are also some concerns about how the exceptionally wet season may have compromised winter crop rooting. So far, most crops look okay, but if soils dry out, some could start to struggle. Yield prospects are probably average at best.

Weed control has been another big challenge, particularly where residual chemistry could not be applied due to the weather, forcing growers to rely on less effective contact herbicides. Stale seedbeds will be important for managing seed return before next season.

Finally, oilseed rape. Most crops were drilled on time last autumn and established well, so look pretty good at the time of writing, therefore yield prospects are cautiously optimistic. Cabbage stem flea beetle does not (yet) present the same issues as further south, but we know pressure is building, so we must stay vigilant.

South: James Short, Kent & Sussex

On the whole, south-eastern counties have fared better than many others in terms of impacts from the wet season, and overall cropping is close to 95-98% of a ‘normal’ year.

Around 90% of planned autumn cereals were established before the weather broke in mid- October, and most crops sown in late September to early October have very good yield potential, with no major issues at the time of writing. Those drilled around mid-October are more mixed, especially where heavy rain immediately post-drilling and post- application of pre-em herbicides, led to some crop damage. Where crops could not be drilled last autumn, some seized opportunities in early to mid-January to sow late winter wheats, or early spring wheats, and most of these look reasonable.

The south-east’s winter barley area is relatively small, but all that was planned got drilled on time and crops look okay, despite significant slug activity in the wet autumn. BYDV was crippling for barley last harvest, but has fortunately been less of an issue this year as early drillers made sure they sprayed to manage risk. There are still some telltale signs though, so remain vigilant.

Weed control has generally been very good given that most growers managed to apply good, robust pre- or early post-em herbicides.

As elsewhere though, the wet, unsettled spring with so few spraying opportunities and wet soils, has been incredibly challenging to all farmers and agronomists, not least for timing and applying fungicides, growth regulators and fertiliser. Crops have also been racing through growth stages in mild conditions, with plenty of disease to contend with, notably septoria, and rusts, with some varieties worse than others.

Generally, where growers have used robust programmes at TO and T1, they have stayed in control, whereas where timings slipped, situations have been compromised. Once septoria, yellow or brown rust gets into a crop, it is becoming harder to eradicate.

This region grows mainly Group 1 and 2 milling wheats, and with some attractive price premiums available, forward-thinking farmers have been willing to invest in crops to look after them. We’ve also seen more nitrogen applied to hit required protein levels, which brought extra lodging and disease risks that had to be managed.

Overall, there is good potential for winter wheats; hopefully we get the sunshine needed to fulfil that.

For winter oilseed rape, apart from a few early losses (c.10%) due to slugs and flea beetle, those crops that got past the end of September, look really good, so yield prospects are very positive. Areas that did suffer early losses have generally been re-sown with either a second wheat, oats, or a spring crop (e.g. barley, beans, or oats).

East Midlands: Alice Cannon

The East Midlands was one of the worst affected areas for heavy rainfall and flooding earlier in the year, and the impacts may be felt well beyond the current season on many farms.

The region resembles something of a ‘patchwork quilt, featuring everything from early-sown wheats with good yield potential, through to bare fields that remained under water until relatively recently and require careful managing to return them to cropping this autumn.

Around 60% of the planned wheat area has been drilled in total. Much of this went in last September/October before the weather broke, but a lot of these earlier-sown wheats subsequently failed due to waterlogging, and had to be re-drilled during the November to February window. Other odd fields that could not be drilled earlier in the autumn were also sown as and when opportunities arose over this period.

Despite a wide range of drilling dates, generally backward crops have made up ground and look better than feared several months ago.

Establishment, rooting, and yield potential have all been compromised though, as has grassweed control, with few crops getting the planned pre-em. On the upside, the unsettled spring has kept crops, growing, despite their shallow rooting and limited scavenging ability, thereby avoiding any early droughting-out.

Disease pressure has been very high throughout, with rust proving a continual headache – mainly brown rust in barley and yellow rust in winter wheat, with even some stronger varieties coming under pressure. Septoria too, has been favoured by high April and May rainfall, forcing growers to use robust and well-timed fungicides to protect whatever yield potential crops have. With such a wide range of growth stages, and rapid development, timing sprays accurately has been key, but not easy to achieve.

Powdery mildew has also stood out this season, probably as a stress response to nutritional deficiencies caused by compromised rooting.

‘Overall, winter wheat yields are likely to be average at best, and late-sown wheats may perform closer to a spring crop. We may also find that lighter land crops do better than a normal year given the availability of moisture throughout spring.

Spring crops, notably barley and oats, had a late start, but generally look okay. Spring beans seem particularly good this year, so there are high hopes the weather is kind and this potential carries through to harvest.

While many growers in this area have pulled back from oilseed rape due to the agronomic risks, some have persevered and there are a few very good-looking crops, with big canopies, plenty of pods, and high yield potential after a very long flowering period. Hopefully we get the sun needed to fill and ripen those pods. At the other extreme, some crops were written off earlier in the year due to incredibly high slug pressure, combined with flea beetle damage.

West: Andrew Goodinson, Herefordshire

Around 90% of the planned winter wheat area got drilled in this area, and while crops look promising from afar, closer inspection reveals some are suffering the effects of the season and yields could be down 20% or so this harvest.

Those sown very early last autumn (i.e. mid-September) did establish well before rain arrived in October, putting on a lot of tillers and biomass, but as wet conditions prevented the all-important early nitrogen applications, many crops dropped tillers, so now look thinner, but still face high septoria pressure. Fortunately we have a good range of chemistry available, which has generally helped us stay on top of septoria thus far, and while we’ve seen peaks of rust activity, it has never taken off in the same way as in other areas.

At the other end of the spectrum, are the wheats drilled and very late after potatoes, which went into challenging conditions have relatively poor rooting, with few tillers, but large heads.

All crops will need consistent moisture supply to avoid droughting-out, and plenty of sunshine through June and July to make the most of this compromised situation.

The other major issue, for this season and next, is the fact that only around 5-10% of all winter cereals received the usual pre-emergence herbicide, putting all the emphasis on less effective post-ems. This has generally only given moderate black-grass control, and sub-optimal ryegrass control, so problem areas need managing carefully this autumn.

The winter barley area is down in this region, largely due to economics, but those crops that are in the ground (mainly hybrid varieties) look good. Stress earlier in March did see some crops abort tillers as it was impossible to get onto fields to apply the nitrogen needed to support them, so this may compromise yield slightly.

Late ramularia has been the main disease issue, and we also saw early brown rust infestations with the at GS 31-32, although these were relatively easily controlled main fungicides.

All of the planned oilseed rape area was sown last autumn, and overall, 92-93% has survived in one form or another. Roughly, two-thirds of crops look good with decent yield potential, 20% are average, and another 20% are marginal, largely due to the combination of waterlogging and flea beetle attack.

We have seen some crops get quite ‘top heavy’ during the spring due to the lack of deep root anchorage, which will increase lodging risk, and may have yield implications where flowering and pod fill was affected. Equally, with shallow rooting, we may find crops drought-out very quickly if/when conditions dry out properly.

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